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Currency hierarchy, inflation targeting and structural change: the Brazilian experience

The aim of this chapter is to analyze how the exchange rate dynamics has affected the manufacturing production and jeopardized structural change in Brazil since the adoption of the Inflation Targeting Regime (ITR) in 1999. The analysis shows that the very subordinated position of the Brazilian real in the currency hierarchy results in a cyclical and volatile behavior of the exchange rate under the ITR that has an asymmetrical impact on the manufacturing production in the appreciation and depreciation phases over capital flows cycles. Our results indicate that investment occurs when domestic currency appreciates, but only reinforces the existing productive structure, and imports increase. On the other hand, when the national currency depreciates, the positive effect on manufacturing production is not enough to boost manufacturing growth for two reasons. First, this depreciation reflects an unfavorable international scenario. Second, the deindustrialization process in force since the 1990s that was fostered by the long-lasting appreciation phase under the ITR between 2003 and the outbreak of the global financial crisis of 2008-2009.

09 jan 25

A Crise e as inovações financeiras

FARHI, Maryse. A Crise e as inovações financeiras. In: Aloísio Sérgio Barroso; Renildo Souza. (Org.). A grande crise capitalista global 2007-2013: gênese, conexões e tendências. 1ed.São Paulo: Editora Anita Garibaldi e a Fundação Maurício Grabois, 2013, v. , p. 35-75.

09 jan 25

From IMF to the Troika: new analytical framework, same conditionalities

PRATES, D. M. ; FARHI, Maryse . From IMF to the Troika: new analytical framework, same conditionalities. Revue Economie et Institutions, v. 23, p. 41-71, 2015.

07 jan 25

Financial flows to Emerging Economies and PolicyAlternatives Post 2008

PAULA, L. F. R. ; PRATES, D. M. . Financial flows to Emerging Economies and PolicyAlternatives Post 2008. In: Aleksandr V. Gevorkyan, Otaviano Canuto. (Org.). Financial Deepening and Post-crisis Development in Emerging Markets. 1ed.New York: Palgrave Mcmillan, 2016, v. 1, p. 85-108.

07 jan 25

New Developmentalism versus the Financialization of the Resource Curse: The Challenge of Exchange Rate Management in Brazil

GALLAGHER, K. ; PRATES, D. M. . New Developmentalism versus the Financialization of the Resource Curse: The Challenge of Exchange Rate Management in Brazil. In: Ben Ross Scheneider. (Org.). New order and Progress Development and Democracy in Brsil. 1ed.New York: Oxford University Press, 2016, v. 1, p. 78-104.

07 jan 25

Brazilian Economic Performance since the Emergence of the Great Recession: The Effects of Income Distribution on Consumption

ARESTIS, PHILIP ; TRONCOSO-BALTAR, CAROLINA ; MAGALHÃES-PRATES, DANIELA . Brazilian economic performance since the emergence of the great recession: The effects of income distribution on consumption. Panoeconomicus, v. 63, p. 157-174, 2016.

07 jan 25

Más allá de los controles de capital: regulación de los mercados de derivados en moneda extranjera en la República de Corea y el Brasil después de la crisis financiera mundial

PRATES, D. M.; FRITZ, B . Más allá de los controles de capital: regulación de los mercados de derivados en moneda extranjera en la República de Corea y el Brasil después de la crisis financiera mundial. Revista de la CEPAL (Impresa), v. 1, p. 193-213, 2016.

07 jan 25

Keynes at the periphery: Currency hierarchy and challenges for economic policy in emerging economies

DE PAULA, LUIZ FERNANDO ; FRITZ, BARBARA ; PRATES, DANIELA M. . Keynes at the periphery: Currency hierarchy and challenges for economic policy in emerging economies. JOURNAL OF POST KEYNESIAN ECONOMICS, v. 40, p. 183-202, 2017.

07 jan 25

Capital account regulation in Brazil: An assessment of the 2009-2013 period

PRATES, D. M.; PAULA, L. F. R.. Capital account regulation in Brazil: An assessment of the 2009-2013 period. Revista de Economia Política (Online), v. 37, p. 108, 2017.

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